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Risk Outlook Keeps USD Under Pressure. Focus on NFP.

EUR
MNI (London)
  • Maintained its break above $1.2100 Thursday on continued risk appetite, this interest fuelled into the NY session on the back of headlines concerning a bipartisan fiscal stimulus plan, both sides noting a deal needs to be done, just down to details/size.
  • EUR/USD pushed on to an extended recovery high of $1.2175 ahead of the 1600GMT fix then retreated as markets reacted to a report that Pfizer would be cutting its year end vaccine roll out target due to supply chain issues.
  • Rate eased to $1.2133 before it edged to $1.2149 into the close.
  • Asia saw consolidation between $1.2139/54, markets turning their attention toward this afternoon's key US Employment Report release(NFP median 486k).
  • However, underlying tone retains a positive feel though area between $1.2175/1.2205 could prove technically difficult.
  • Support $1.2133, stronger into $1.2100.
  • Germany Factory Orders at 0700GMT ahead of US Jobs data at 1330GMT, along with US Trade. US Factory Orders 1500GMT.
  • Fed speakers include Williams(1305GMT, Evans(1400GMT), Bowman(1500GMT. Nowcast St Louis Fed GDP at 1600GMT, NY Fed GDP 1615GMT.
  • MNI Techs: EURUSD is bullish and continued north once again yesterday. This week's clearance of the Sep 1 high of 1.2011 confirms a resumption of the uptrend that has dominated since the reversal on Mar 23. The pair has also cleared 1.2102, 76.4% of the entire 2018-20 downleg reinforcing bullish conditions. With further gains likely, the focus is on 1.2184, a Fibonacci projection. On the downside, initial support is seen at 1.2101 and 1.2040.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com

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