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IDR: Rupiah Falters After Surprise Rate Cut

IDR

The rupiah has depreciated on the back of Bank Indonesia's unexpected decision to lower the key policy rate by 25bp, with spot USD/IDR last dealing +60 figs at 16,325, pressing against resistance from Jul 30 high. The rupiah is the worst performer in the Asia EM FX space. A clearance of 16,326 would allow bulls to set their sights on Jun 21 high of 16,478.

  • USD/IDR 1-month NDF operates +67 figs at 16,395 and bulls are eyeing resistance from Dec 19 high of 16,418, followed by Jun 20 high of 16,519.
  • Bank Indonesia vowed to continue stabilising the rupiah via market intervention.
  • The central bank's decision further narrows the yield spread with core markets.
  • Against this backdrop, the focus turns to US CPI data due later today.
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The rupiah has depreciated on the back of Bank Indonesia's unexpected decision to lower the key policy rate by 25bp, with spot USD/IDR last dealing +60 figs at 16,325, pressing against resistance from Jul 30 high. The rupiah is the worst performer in the Asia EM FX space. A clearance of 16,326 would allow bulls to set their sights on Jun 21 high of 16,478.

  • USD/IDR 1-month NDF operates +67 figs at 16,395 and bulls are eyeing resistance from Dec 19 high of 16,418, followed by Jun 20 high of 16,519.
  • Bank Indonesia vowed to continue stabilising the rupiah via market intervention.
  • The central bank's decision further narrows the yield spread with core markets.
  • Against this backdrop, the focus turns to US CPI data due later today.