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Russia Crude Export Increase In April Despite Production Cuts

OIL

Russian seaborne crude exports rose 8% on the month in April to a 12-month high with record volumes to Indian refiners according to S&P Global and despite the planned production cuts.

  • Russian seaborne crude exports were the highest since April 2022 at 3.76mb/d in April and 22% above average pre-war levels of 3.1mb/d. India imports of Russian crude increased 14% to almost 2mb/d in April despite a narrowing Urals discount.
  • The Platts Urals DAP West Coast India discount to forward Dated Brent narrowed from 15.95$/bbl on March 30 to 13.50$/bbl on May 2.
  • Russian crude flows to Indian refiners are now reaching a saturation point according to S&P Global. Russian imports are close to the estimated maximum of 40%-45% that refiners could technically process given the quality of the crude.
  • The share of Russian flows to India in 2023 is expected around 30% to 35% as long as the price remains competitive against Middle East and Africa crude.


Source: S&P Global

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