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SAGBs Make Tentative Gains Post-Fed Minutes; Implied SARB Pricing Little Changed

SOUTH AFRICA
  • SAGBs trade mostly firmer this morning (-1.6-2.2bp) as markets digest last night’s FOMC minutes.
  • Analysts highlighted concerns of upside pressures in long-dated UST yields as a result of an expedited balance sheet run-off at $95bn/month, which will likely have similar trickle-down effects in EM.
  • SAGB yields rose +0.5-5.8bp across the curve yesterday in the lead-up to the meeting with the curve bear flattening on expectation for a greater appetite for +50bp hikes across the MPC.
  • Nevertheless, implied expectations for the SARB remain mostly stable at +61.7bp priced into 3x6 FRA-Jiba3m spreads, having ticked up from +58bp last week.
  • 3x6 FRA-Jiba3m spread


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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