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SAGBs Tread Water Ahead of Nail-Biter SARB Meeting

SOUTH AFRICA
  • SAGBs tread water around the open ahead of today's SARB meeting, having continued to bull steepen in yesterday's session into CPI – which came out flat at 5.0% y/y.
  • 2Y yields have rallied -11.3bp this week ahead of the meeting with 1x4 forward rates also displaying a more uncertain picture at +16bp priced in vs the full +25bp last week.
  • W/w the curve stands bear steeper, however, with weakness concentrated in 10, 15 & 30Y yields (+21-27bp).
  • A hold decision may see the remaining hawkish positions priced out post-decision, while a hike should inject upside pressure into the front end of the curve.

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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