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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessSalient data for Wednesday:.........>
US DATA PREVIEW: Salient data for Wednesday: Existing home sales for Nov (5.17m
est), FOMC annc (1400ET), Fed Chair Powell press conf.
- JP Morgan economists look for Fed to raise rates .25 bps (funds range to
2.25%-2.50%), statement "will drop the guidance of expecting "further gradual
increases" in rate. JPM posits "general deterioration in financial conditions
will lead the Comm to nudge down their growth forecast. Partly as a consequence,
the median interest rate forecast 'dot' for 2019 will likely slip from 3 hikes
to 2." JP Morgan further adds that if the Fed's stance does become less hawkish
in 2019, would be due to a "faltering in the growth outlook, not a
disappointment in inflation or shift in Fed reaction function."
- Societe Generale economists expect a "dovish " hike of 25 bps Wed, adding it's
"likely...median funds rate projection for '19 will come down...expect
distribution to narrow, with the higher dots moving lower." SocGen said the
statement "will be tweaked to jettison the word "further" in describing the
gradual pace of hikes, but we suspect that it will be coupled with a sentence
indicating that the actual path of the funds rate will depend on incoming data."
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.