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Schatz the biggest movers again

BONDS
  • Schatz are the biggest movers in core FI space again with yields up 4.6bp, with the Euribor strip under pressure this morning - up to 8.5 ticks lower. No real data drivers again - more continued momentum from the past few days amid focus on ECB expectations (71bp now priced for October and a terminal rate of 2.75% by June 2023).
  • The German curve has bear flattened with 10y Bund yields closer to flat on the day.
  • Treasuries following Bunds (to some extent albeit with smaller moves). Michigan confidence data along with the inflation expectations component is the highlight for the remainder of the day.
  • Gilt yields are a little lower - but with the curve bull flattening through 10-year yields moving lower as the terminal rate moves lower following this morning's disappointing retail sales data.
  • TY1 futures are down -0-0+ today at 114-15+ with 10y UST yields up 0.8bp at 3.459% and 2y yields up 3.1bp at 3.898%.
  • Bund futures are down -0.48 today at 142.74 with 10y Bund yields up 0.3bp at 1.769% and Schatz yields up 4.6bp at 1.566%.
  • Gilt futures are down -0.07 today at 105.26 with 10y yields down -1.3bp at 3.149% and 2y yields down -0.5bp at 3.098%.

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