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Scotiabank Says Data Reinforces Call For +25BP Hike In Feb

MEXICO
  • December inflation data reinforces Scotiabank’s expectation of a hike of 25bps at Banxico’s February monetary policy meeting, decoupling from the Fed.
  • Despite a moderation in headline and core inflation, uncertainty remains high, as noted in the last monetary policy minutes, highlighting both external and internal risks, and possible stickiness in core inflation at high levels.
  • In this regard, expectations in the Citibanamex Survey also remain high, as analysts expect a year-end inflation rate of 4.98% for 2023, and 4.07% at end-2024, slightly above the 4% upper limit of Banxico’s target range.

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