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SECURITY: Information Limited Ahead Of Potential Israeli Response To Iran

SECURITY
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Israeli media has been relatively quiet today as the Middle East braces for Israel's response to Iran's ballistic missile attack. The lack of inside reporting may suggest that the Israeli government is keeping a lid on communications while it considers options.

  •  The New York Times noted earlier this afternoon that the Israeli security cabinet is expected to authorize Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and defense minister Yoav Gallant "to initiate the response at their discretion," when it meets this evening. The Times doesn't speculate on what the response could be.
  • Israeli officials have promised a severe response but have been ambiguous about likely targets. The widely accepted options are a limited strike on strategic military targets, in line with US guidance, or a more debilitating strike on Iran's nuclear or energy facilities, which could risk a major regional war.
  • That threat was highlighted by Gulf countries, who reportedlypetitioned Washington to urge Israel to refrain from striking Iran's oil infrastructure due to the risk of retaliation on their energy sectors from Iran's proxies.
  • Analysts tend to agree that a more restrained response is the most likely. This is based on a calculus that Israel cannot sustain a three-front war in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran.
  • However, Netanyahu may consider now the optimum time to pursue a more permanent solution to Iran's regional power during a time of strong domestic public support. Netanyahu may also be empowered by Hezbollah's marginalisation as Iran's primary deterrent.  
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Israeli media has been relatively quiet today as the Middle East braces for Israel's response to Iran's ballistic missile attack. The lack of inside reporting may suggest that the Israeli government is keeping a lid on communications while it considers options.

  •  The New York Times noted earlier this afternoon that the Israeli security cabinet is expected to authorize Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and defense minister Yoav Gallant "to initiate the response at their discretion," when it meets this evening. The Times doesn't speculate on what the response could be.
  • Israeli officials have promised a severe response but have been ambiguous about likely targets. The widely accepted options are a limited strike on strategic military targets, in line with US guidance, or a more debilitating strike on Iran's nuclear or energy facilities, which could risk a major regional war.
  • That threat was highlighted by Gulf countries, who reportedlypetitioned Washington to urge Israel to refrain from striking Iran's oil infrastructure due to the risk of retaliation on their energy sectors from Iran's proxies.
  • Analysts tend to agree that a more restrained response is the most likely. This is based on a calculus that Israel cannot sustain a three-front war in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran.
  • However, Netanyahu may consider now the optimum time to pursue a more permanent solution to Iran's regional power during a time of strong domestic public support. Netanyahu may also be empowered by Hezbollah's marginalisation as Iran's primary deterrent.