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SEK: USDSEK Tests Pivot Support At 10.1500.

SEK

USDSEK tests key pivot support around 10.1500, with Fed rate cut speculation helping keep the dollar under pressure. The pair is 0.2% lower today. This level was last tested in late-August and has proved a significant inflection point across the past 2 years.

  • The Fed decision is set to dictate global risk sentiment, and by extension risk-sensitive currencies like the SEK.
  • Today’s US retail sales / industrial production provide the final US data inputs ahead of tomorrow’s gathering, where Fed Fund futures price a ~70% implied probability of a 50bps cut.
  • The only domestic release of note this week is the August labour force survey – due tomorrow at 0700BST/0800CET. This is not expected to move the needle ahead of the Riksbank’s Sep 25 decision, with a 25bp cut well priced at this stage.
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USDSEK tests key pivot support around 10.1500, with Fed rate cut speculation helping keep the dollar under pressure. The pair is 0.2% lower today. This level was last tested in late-August and has proved a significant inflection point across the past 2 years.

  • The Fed decision is set to dictate global risk sentiment, and by extension risk-sensitive currencies like the SEK.
  • Today’s US retail sales / industrial production provide the final US data inputs ahead of tomorrow’s gathering, where Fed Fund futures price a ~70% implied probability of a 50bps cut.
  • The only domestic release of note this week is the August labour force survey – due tomorrow at 0700BST/0800CET. This is not expected to move the needle ahead of the Riksbank’s Sep 25 decision, with a 25bp cut well priced at this stage.