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Selling Pressure on HUF Is Surging Again

HUNGARY
  • Selling pressure on HUF has been surging again in the past two days, with EURHUF maintaining its strong momentum this morning after reaching a local low at 401.20 on Friday.
  • Resistance to watch on the pair stands at 410.79 (123.6% projection of the 352.40 – 399.60 range).
  • Last week, the NBH surprised the market and decided to hike its 1W depo rate by 200bps to 9.75% in order to protect the currency as a depreciating HUF keeps supporting inflation expectations.
  • The central bank announced on Thursday that it will align the 1-week depo rate and the base rate at the July 12 meeting (which was supposed to be non-policy meeting).
  • Economic data showed on Friday that inflation accelerated to 11.7% in June (vs. 11.5% exp.), up from 10.7% the previous month.
  • Hungary’s government is “beginning to gamble” with oil supply security by insisting on maintaining the European Union’s lowest price cap, Zsolt Hernadi, the chairman and CEO of Mol, told ATV on Sunday (BBG).

Source: Bloomberg

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