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September Hike Nailed On, 3 Further Hikes Priced for 2022

NORGES BANK

After a delayed release to the rate path projections, the NOK has settled slightly, with EUR/NOK either side of 10.15.

  • Rate liftoff has been brought forward (largely in line with exp) to September, with that month now being specifically mentioned in the statement.
  • Path implies 1 rate hike by year-end and has fully priced three further rate hikes in 2022.
  • Also some sizeable upticks in the path further out, with Q3 and Q4 2022 both being lifted by 32 and 33bps respectively.
  • Terminal rate boosted to 1.56% from 1.36% prior.

New rate path here:


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