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Shadow of virus leaves recovery left..........>

FOREX
FOREX: Shadow of virus leaves recovery left wanting
- The protracted downside in global equities Monday raised hopes of a decent
bounce across Asia and Europe but this failed to materialise, leaving stock
markets nursing losses. Mainland European bourses are lower by around 0.5%,
allowing traders to carry through the themes seen Monday. This has resulted in
further JPY and CHF strength, but the Swiss currency is lagging slightly which
may raise suspicion that the SNB are becoming more active in defending FX.
- GBP is trading nicely, but headlines and newsflow are few and far between.
Market focus turns to the publication of the EU/UK positions ahead of Brexit
negotiations. Formal talks begin next week and today the EU27 meet to sign off
on Barnier's negotiating mandate.
- High beta FX remains offered, with NZD bearing the brunt. NZ PM Ardern
confirmed that the ban on inbound travel from mainland China will be extended
for another 8 days.
- US February consumer confidence is the sole release Tuesday with speeches due
from BoC's Lane and Fed's Clarida.

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