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Free AccessSharp Reversal Overnight, With Fed Speakers Eyed
The week has kicked off with a sharp drop in yields in Asia-Pac followed by a large rebound in Europe, as markets continue to digest last week's hawkish Fed turn. A fairly quiet schedule ahead but FOMC speakers will continue to be closely watched following last week's unexpectedly hawkish shift.
- The 2-Yr yield is up 0.4bps at 0.2583%, 5-Yr is up 0.5bps at 0.8795%, 10-Yr is down 0.4bps at 1.4346%, and 30-Yr is up 1.7bps at 2.03%.
- But those relatively modest moves understate wide ranges: 10Y yields touched a fresh post-Feb low of 1.3526% (as Asian equities tumbled) before rebounding. 30-Yr yields higher on the session after dipping well below 2% (1.9259% low).
- Sep 10-Yr futures (TY) up 3.5/32 at 132-13.5 (L: 132-11 / H: 132-30), with an impressive ~660k volume.
- Scheduled Fed speakers include St Louis' Bullard and Kaplan (0945ET) in an event discussing the economic outlook (with Q&A); they're two of the 7 2022 hikes in the FOMC dot plot (Bullard said as much yesterday, and Kaplan surely kept his 2022 hike from the March meeting).
- Then NY Fed's Williams at 1500ET (incl Q&A) who may provide a better gauge of the current thinking of the FOMC "core", ahead of Chair Powell's Congressional appearance Tuesday.
- May Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index at 0830ET is the only data release.
- In supply, 3-M / 6-M bills (total $111B) auction at 1130ET. NY Fed buys ~$1.425B of 10Y-22.5Y Tsy.
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.