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Short End Tsy Holdings Slowly Evaporating

FED

Total Fed assets continued to hit new highs last week, closing the week to Wednesday at $7.831trn. Tsy/TIPS made up about 70% of the total $20.2bln increase, with MBS remaining unchanged.

  • With much of the interest in Fed purchases last week surrounding a "tweak" in purchase buckets from 10-Yrs onward, it's worth noting that the maturity of holdings has already shifted somewhat this year, albeit at the short end.
  • Holdings of securities maturing in <90 days has fallen from a peak of 8.9% of the holdings in Feb to 8.0% currently, while 90 days-1Yr has declined since 4Q 2020 from 15.6% to 12.5%. Most of the difference is attributable to a steady rise in the proportion of 1-5Yr securities, which make up 38.5% of holdings, vs 37.5% in 4Q 2020.
  • Total holdings have increased across the spectrum though: increases since Sep 2020 have been $44bn for <1Yr, $275bn for 1-5 Yr, $122bn for 5-10 Yrs, and $168bln for >10Yrs. That said, within that, the 91-day to 1-Yr bucket has seen a $63.8bln decline - likely as securities have drifted closer to their maturity dates.


Federal Resserve


AssetsTotal AssetsMBSTIPSTreasury Bonds/NotesOther
Last Week's Net Change (USDbn)20.20.03.614.02.6
4-Week Net Change (USD bn)37.6-57.72.580.911.9
Total Holdings (USD bn)7830.72191.3339.75054.4582.6

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