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Short Term Underinvestment-Triggered Supply Shortage Unlikely: Rystad

ENERGY

“The world is investing appropriate amounts of money in fossil fuel production to satisfy demand” according to Rystad Energy and “an underinvestment-triggered supply shortage is unlikely in the short term.”

  • “Cost savings mean operators can produce the same amount of oil at a lower cost, and we don’t foresee an oil supply crisis due to underinvestment on the immediate horizon.”
  • “Although investments have shrunk, activity and production remain healthy and on par with the levels seen from 2010 to 2014.”
  • Lower prices have resulted in more activity for every dollar spent and well completions take no account of their productivity. Upstream investments have fallen to an expected $580b this year from a peak of $887b in 2014.
  • The 88k wells completed in 2014 have a total oil production potential of about 37b bbl with the 59k expected in 2023 will deliver almost 35b bbl.

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