Free Trial

Slightly Weaker Ahead of Jobs Data

AUSSIE BONDS

Ahead of the release of the Employment Report for March (0230 BST), ACGBs are holding modestly cheaper (YM -1.0 & XM -1.0) in a narrow range with US Tsys marginally weaker in early Asia-Pac trade. BBG consensus is expecting a 20k increase in employment with an unemployment rate of 3.6%, up from 3.5%. After recent seasonal-induced volatility, the market will be hoping for a clearer picture of the state of the labour market.

  • Cash ACGBs are flat to 1bp cheaper with the AU-US 10-year yield differential +3bp at -14bp.
  • Swap rates are 1-2bp higher with EFPs 1bp wider.
  • Bills strip pricing is flat to -2.
  • RBA dated OIS are flat to 2bp softer across meetings. An 18% chance of a 25bp hike in May is priced.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.