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SLOOS Demand Takeaways – Narrower Declines Than In Q1, Particularly For C&I

FED

After the Q1 report saw a mixed bag for loan demand, the Q2 report saw a (in some areas sharp) normalization of prior declines.

  • Commercial & Industrial loan demand was stable for both large & medium firms and small firms in Q2 after heavy declines of -26.6% and -23% respectively in Q1. It was the first time they haven’t declined on the quarter since 3Q22.
  • Consumer loan demand saw directional improvements across the board although was mixed in terms of outright levels. Credit cards saw a net 2% increase in demand after the -12% in Q1 was the largest net share decline since the pandemic, whilst auto loans saw -10.4% after the -26% in Q1 was the largest since 2Q23.
  • CRE loans saw limited improvement in demand for construction and land development (-15.9% after -16.7%) but greater normalization for non-residential components (nonfarm -19% after -29%, multi-family -17.5% after -33.9%).
  • Residential Mortgage demand continued to decline on the quarter. The relative changes were somewhat mixed though, with GSE-eligible and government-insured loans seeing a larger decline in demand but all other areas declining by less.


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