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SLOOS Supply Takeaways – Relatively Less Tightening Across The Board

FED

There was less tightening in lending standards in Q2 than that of Q1 across the board, offering a relative boost to growth.

  • Commercial & Industrial loans, having bucked the trend with a modest renewed tightening last quarter, this time saw an easing in standards with only a net 7.9% of large firms tightening (vs 15.6% in Q1) and 8.2% of small firms tightening (vs 19.7%). The two see the lowest additional tightening since 2Q22.
  • Residential Mortgage lending standards are the next most notable category, with the broad sweep of categories either seeing zero tightening or the first net easing since 4Q22 or 2Q22.

Elsewhere, other categories that have seen greater delinquencies and insolvency fears unsurprisingly saw the least moderation in the share seeing tightening on the quarter. Specifically:

  • CRE loan lending standards again saw a sizeable 23.8% share tighten for construction and land development after the 24.6% in Q1. It remains large historically but significantly below the 70% averaged in 2023 (with that share ramping up prior to SVB-related regional bank fallout).
  • Finally, consumer loans saw the greatest continued tightening share for credit cards (20% after 21.1%) although auto loans saw a pause in tightening (0% after 9.5% for the lowest since 2Q22).

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