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Slumps Post RBNZ, Threatening Break Sub 20-day EMA

NZDJPY

The yen is the only G10 currency higher against the USD, albeit marginally at this stage. USD/JPY last tracked near 150.40, keeping us well within recent ranges.

  • NZD/JPY is down sharply, following the dovish RBNZ on hold outcome. The OCR was on hold as expected, but the RBNZ tone and forecasts implied less upside risks to the rates outlook. As Governor Orr's press conference unfolds NZD is seeing further downside, NZD/USD near 0.6110.
  • The pair had rallied strongly in the first 3 weeks of Feb, aided by higher NZ rates and generally bullish global equity market sentiment.
  • From multi year highs (93.45) we are now back sub 92.00 and threatening a test of the 20-day EMA, see the chart below.

Fig 1: NZD/JPY Lower, Testing 20-day EMA Support


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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