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Fall lower led by the cash open.


Remains Vulnerable


TTF Falls Further as Low Demand Eases Supply Pressure


Trend Needle Points North




Opening calls

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Small Beat For Q3 GDP But Weak End To Quarter For Durable Goods

  • Real GDP modestly stronger than consensus, bouncing to +2.6% annualized in Q3 (cons 2.4 but Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.1%) after an average -1.1% in 1H22.
  • Beat in personal consumption, rising 1.4% (cons 1.0%) but that’s still a slowdown from 2.0% in Q2.

  • However, weaker momentum from businesses at the end of the quarter tarnish the GDP beat somewhat, with core durable goods orders/shipments both weaker than expected and after downward revisions.
  • Core orders fell -0.7% M/M (cons +0.3) in September, the weakest since May'21 and after that Apr'20, following +0.8% M/M (initial 0.8%).
  • It reverses some of the recent upward momentum, with the trend rate dipping from (a nominal) 9% to 7% annualized.

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