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Small Net Movements Across $-Bloc Over Past Week

STIR

STIR markets within the $-bloc have seen small net movements over the past week, with the market awaiting the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium.

  • Year-end official rate expectations firmed by 7bps in New Zealand over the past week as the euphoria following the August 14 rate cut by the RBNZ was pared. A cumulative 71bps of easing is priced by year-end.
  • By contrast, the US, Canadian and Australian markets have seen year-end official rate expectations soften by 1-4bps over the past week.
  • The December 2024 expectations and the cumulative easing across the $-bloc are as follows: 4.40%, -93bps (FOMC); 3.75%, -75bps (BoC); 4.08%, -24bps (RBA); and 4.54%, -71bps (RBNZ).


Figure 1: $-Bloc STIR (%)



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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