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So Long, Golden Cross?

IDR

Spot USD/IDR has continued to slide, reinforcing the head and shoulders pattern charted in April. Bears have prevailed despite the recent formation of a golden cross and the rate printed its worst levels since Mar 12. Bears now set their sights on IDR14,343/14,340, which represent the 38.2% retracement of the Feb - Apr rally/Mar 12 low. Next support is located at IDR14,243, which limited losses on Mar 3. The rate last changes hands -81 figs at IDR14,354.

  • USD/IDR 1-Month NDF has shed 73 figs and last trades at IDR14,383, with bears looking for a break below Mar 11 low of IDR14,345 before targeting the 100-DMA at IDR14,319. The rate now sits at its worst levels since Mar 12.
  • The rupiah has managed to garner strength despite a broadly firmer greenback & upticks in U.S. Tsy yields seen in Asia-Pac hours, happy to forget about yesterday's disappointing Q1 GDP print.


Fig. 1: Spot USD/IDR

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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