Free Trial

Sour 5y Auction Tipping 10y Yield Back Toward 5%

CROSS ASSET
  • The US 10y yield is again narrowing in on 5.00% (overnight high at 4.981%), helping underpin the greenback in FX: the USD Index has shown through the Oct13 high of 106.787, opening next resistance at the 76.4% retracement for the October downleg. The weakness across Treasury futures was compounded late yesterday by the poor 5y auction, which saw soft demand and a sizeable tail.
  • The re-steepening of the US curve is helping drive the move in USD/JPY (again pressing new highs at 150.65) while weighing on equity markets. The three main US indices are softer by 0.3-1.1%, with European stock futures pointing to a lower open of 0.7-1.0% at the bell.
  • Earnings are adding to the theme, with Meta Platforms (Facebook) missing forecast after the close and trading lower by 3.4%. European reports have been similarly shaky, with Mercedes-Benz, Unilever, Standard Chartered, WPP and others all missing expectations.
  • Focus turns to two key releases today: the advance Q3 GDP release (Exp. 4.5%, Prev. 2.1%) and the ECB rate decision, at which no change is rates is expected, with focus to shift to the outlook for PEPP, reserve remuneration and the timing around a first rate cut. Full preview here: https://roar-assets-auto.rbl.ms/files/56338/ECB%20...

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.