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South Korean Curve Bull Steepens After BoK Decision, China Gov. Bond Yields To New Cycle Lows

ASIA RATES

South Korean Sovereign Bond curve has bull-steepened, with yields currently 2-4bps lower after today’s BoK Policy Decision. Yields are however 2-4bps higher than session lows, set soon after the decision.

  • The central bank kept its key policy rate unchanged at 3.5% for the 10th consecutive meeting as expected by all 23 economists surveyed.
  • A slightly dovish undertone from the BoK and not a great deal of concern around recent FX weakness.
  • Importantly, BoK Governor Rhee noted the central bank can move independently of the Fed decisions.
  • Still, the inflation trajectory is key to the rates outlook. Governor Rhee said the board is open to a rate cut if consumer price inflation slows in the second half of 2024.
  • The 2- and 10-year yields are currently 3.45% and 3.55% respectively after reaching year-to-date highs yesterday as the local market processed the sell-off in US tsys following this week’s hotter-than-anticipated US CPI data.
  • China Government Bonds have richened again, with benchmark yields flat to 3bps lower. The 5-year has outperformed slightly, pushing to a fresh cycle low of 2.107% and the lowest level since 2020.

Figure 1: 5-Year China Government Bond (%)



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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