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Spot USD/PHP Operates Near 17-Year Highs, Weekend News Flow Adds Little New

PHP

Spot USD/PHP soared to its highest point since 2005 on Friday as Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas ruled out intervening in support of the currency, noting that it only steps in to curb excessive volatility.

  • Cited remarks from incoming Gov Medalla prompted participants to dump the currency, with the peso facing headwinds from Fed tightening & the Philippines' "twin deficits" (current account & budget balance).
  • Spot USD/PHP last deals at -0.052 at PHP54.938, with the RSI firmly in overbought territory. Bears look for a sell-off past PHP54.000 to get some initial reprieve. Bulls need a clearance of PHP55.000 before targeting the area around PHP 55.900, which capped gains in mid-Oct 2005.
  • USD/PHP 1-month NDF last +0.100 at PHP55.050. Topside focus falls on Friday's high of PHP55.080, followed by Nov 21, 2005 high of PHP56.000. Bears look for a pullback under the PHP54.000 mark.
  • Bank lending data is expected to hit the wires in the coming days, ahead of the release of S&P Global M'fing PMI on Friday.
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