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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
MNI US Employment Insight: Soft Enough To Keep Fed Cutting
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Jobs Data Green Lights Rate Cuts
Statement Raises Questions On Global Growth, Pared-Back Inflation Language
The February FOMC statement (link to comparison with December's here) maintains previous guidance, with barely a faint nod to a pause coming soon (now eyeing the "extent" rather than the "pace" of future hikes, but maintaining "ongoing increases" language which makes it clear they're not done yet.)
- The new statement tones down the inflation language, deleting the factors behind it being elevated (supply and demand imbalances etc), and saying it's "eased somewhat". Not a huge surprise but Powell will probably want to explain this one - the nuances behind the goods vs housing vs services ex-housing are the drivers of policy now and may have been too much to include in the statement at this stage.
- Another interesting change is the deletion of the reference to the Ukraine-Russia war contributing to upward pressure on inflation and weighing on global activity - this would appear to suggest that they are not so worried anymore about either its effects on inflation or weak global economic activity (a nod to China/ recent above-consensus Eurozone readings?). Definitely a question on the latter for Powell in the presser.
- And finally, they removed the "readings on public health" (which referred to Covid) as a factor in the Committee's assessments. We've been waiting for that one for a few meetings now.
- Onto the press conference at 1430ET/1930GMT.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.