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MNI: SPAIN NOV HICP +0% M/M, +2.4% Y/Y

MNI: FRANCE NOV HICP -0.1% M/M, +1.7% Y/Y

MNI: SWEDEN NOV UNEMPLOYMENT 7.4%

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Steady Overnight Sale

US TSY FUTURES

Varied reasons for better selling of Tsys overnight include (relatively) better than expected German data (Q2 GDP -9.7% vs. -10.1 est; bizz conf 92.6 vs. 92.1 est) and "optimistic" chatter over US/China Phase 1 trade deal. But one desk notes JPM survey explains a lot: "overall and active accounts are both the most long since March 30". Current VERY heavy volumes (TYU>710k) tied to surge in Sep/Dec rolls. Yld curves midly steeper. Update:

  • 3M10Y +0.483, 56.52 (L: 54.353 / H: 59.182)
  • 2Y10Y +1.746, 51.625 (L: 49.474 / H: 52.766)
  • 2Y30Y +2.425, 122.541 (L: 119.521 / H: 124.21)
  • 5Y30Y +1.842, 109.145 (L: 106.953 / H: 110.11)
  • Current futures levels:
  • Sep 2Y down 0.625/32 at 110-12 (L: 110-11.75 / H: 110-12.625)
  • Sep 5Y down 2.75/32 at 125-22.5 (L: 125-21.25 / H: 125-25.25)
  • Sep 10Y down 9/32 at 139-7.5 (L: 139-05 / H: 139-15.5)
  • Sep 30Y down 1-1/32 at 178-13 (L: 178-02 / H: 179-09)
  • Sep Ultra 30Y down 1-31/32 at 219-27 (L: 219-05 / H: 221-15)
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