February 11, 2025 04:40 GMT
FOREX: Steady USD Trends, Tariff Headlines Only Cause Minor Risk Off
FOREX
Aggregate G10 FX moves have been modest so far in Tuesday trade. The USD BBDXY index sits around 1304, near end Monday levels from the US session. there was an early slight risk-off tone for markets, which benefited the yen, but follow through did not eventuate.
- Early headwinds were dominated by Trump signing tariffs of 25% on steel and aluminium imports. Trump made other remarks in the oval office, stating Tariffs on autos and chips and other areas, including pharmaceuticals will be coming next Trump stated. Reciprocal tariff details will also be released in the next few day, Trump added.
- US equity futures are lower, although losses are not much beyond 0.20% at this stage. There has been no cash Tsy trading so far today, with Japan markets out. Futures in the Tsy space, are little changed.
- USD/JPY liquidity has no doubt been lighter, the pair last around 152.00 (range so far today 151.69-152.06).
- We had Australian consumer and business sentiment readings earlier from Westpac and NAB, but they didn't shift AUD, which was last 0.6270/75. NZD/USD was around 0.5640, also little changed for the session. The AUD/NZD cross is down slightly from recent highs, but still above 1.1100 (last 1.1115/20)
- USD/CAD is slightly higher, following the earlier tariff news, but at 1.4330/35, remains well within recent ranges.
- Looking ahead, the US January NFIB small business optimism prints and Fed Chair Powell testifies to the senate and Fed’s Hammack, Williams and Bowman speak. Q4 French unemployment is released and the ECB’s Schnabel appears, and BoE’s Mann & Bailey speak.
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