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Still Sizeable Divergence In Eurozone Credit Growth [1/2]

MACRO ANALYSIS
  • Released last week, Eurozone money and lending data for June saw a modest uptick in bank lending growth although it maintains a trend of particularly subdued credit growth.
  • It was led by lending to non-financial corporations (NFCs) growth accelerate from 0.3% to 0.7% Y/Y whilst lending to households was unchanged at 0.3% Y/Y (all figures here adjusted for sales & securitizations).
  • The country breakdown meanwhile continues to point to sizeable differences in lending environments in the largest four Eurozone economies.
  • Within lending to NFCs, France (2.8% Y/Y) and Germany (0.3% Y/Y) lead whilst Italy (-3.6% Y/Y) and Spain (-1% Y/Y) lag.
  • The differences are less notable in household credit growth though, with German (0.4% Y/Y) and France (0.1% Y/Y) leading Italy (-0.9% Y/Y) and Spain (-0.3% Y/Y).
  • However, this snapshot can be misleading from a growth impulse perspective as Italian and Spanish lending growth is improving after some sizeable declines.

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