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STIR: 35bp Of BoE Cuts Priced Through Year-End

STIR

The post-SONIA settlement rally in core global FI has had a slightly dovish impact on GBP STIRs.

  • BoE-dated OIS little changed to 1bp more dovish, showing 22bp of cuts for November, 35bp of cuts through year-end and 98bp of cuts through June.
  • SONIA futures last 0.25 to 5.0 firmer.
  • This morning’s monthly economic activity data had no real impact on markets, given how close to expectations the GDP prints were. There shouldn’t be any impact on monetary policy either.
  • Looking forwards, expect fiscal speculation to continue to dominate local headlines, while U.S. PPI data headlines the macro calendar ahead of the weekend.

BoE Meeting

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The post-SONIA settlement rally in core global FI has had a slightly dovish impact on GBP STIRs.

  • BoE-dated OIS little changed to 1bp more dovish, showing 22bp of cuts for November, 35bp of cuts through year-end and 98bp of cuts through June.
  • SONIA futures last 0.25 to 5.0 firmer.
  • This morning’s monthly economic activity data had no real impact on markets, given how close to expectations the GDP prints were. There shouldn’t be any impact on monetary policy either.
  • Looking forwards, expect fiscal speculation to continue to dominate local headlines, while U.S. PPI data headlines the macro calendar ahead of the weekend.

BoE Meeting

Keep reading...Show less