September 19, 2024 06:36 GMT
STIR: Euribor Strip Steepens Following Fed Decision
STIR
The Euribor strip has twist steepened versus yesterday’s settlement levels, with the whites 0.5 to 1.5 ticks higher and the greens/blues a few ticks lower.
- Euribor tracked moves in SOFR / USTs post-settlement, rising sharply after the Fed delivered a 50bp cut but subsequently paring gains through the press conference.
- ECB-dated OIS price 7bps of easing through the October meeting and 38bps through the remainder of this year.
- ECB Executive Board member Schnabel is scheduled to speak at 1000BST/1100CET today, before chairing a panel at 1540BST. Knot and Panetta are also scheduled today.
- The BoE decision may provide some spillover potential at 1200BST.
Meeting Date | ESTR ECB-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Cut-adjusted Effective ESTR Rate (bp) |
Oct-24 | 3.347 | -6.9 |
Dec-24 | 3.037 | -37.9 |
Jan-25 | 2.819 | -59.7 |
Mar-25 | 2.527 | -88.9 |
Apr-25 | 2.322 | -109.4 |
Jun-25 | 2.130 | -128.6 |
Jul-25 | 2.032 | -138.4 |
Sep-25 | 1.941 | -147.5 |
Source: MNI/Bloomberg. |
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