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STIR: RBA Dated OIS Continues To Ignore RBA Remarks

STIR

RBA Assistant Governor for Economics, Sarah Hunter, spoke today on the labour market, highlighting the central bank's surprise at the resilience of hours worked, underemployment, and the participation rate. She noted that while the labour market is tighter than full employment estimates suggest, it is gradually moving toward that level. 

  • Her assessment aligns with the RBA's prolonged policy hold.
  • However, markets are still pricing in 16bps of rate cuts by year-end, with an additional 42bps expected by March 2025.

 

Figure 1: Official Rate:  Current Vs. Year-End Market Expectations

 


Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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