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Storage & LNG spreads Help Ease European Gas

NATURAL GAS

European gas prices have eased with LNG still encouraged to flow to Europe and with healthier storage levels compared to last winter.

  • TTF is trading near yesterday’s close at 84.8€/MWh and NBP is slightly higher on the day at 155p/th
  • The outage at Freeport LNG is likely to increase demand for spot LNG cargoes in an already competitive market. Gas spreads still suggest it is more profitable to send cargoes to Europe rather than Asia.
  • The US LNG netback to Europe is estimated as 15.67$/mmbtu compared to 12.00$/mmbtu for Jul. The front JKM – TTF spread is currently around -3.1$/mmbtu.
  • LNG net imports into Europe normally reduce during the summer months due to lower demand. Imports into NW Europe are still above normal but have already fallen from a peak of approximately 300mcm/d in April to just 162mcm/d now. Over the middle of the summer net imports typically fall to around 50mcm/d.
  • European storage is now at 50.5% as detailed below:

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