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Strong GBP gains & dovish Fed Powell.........>

DOLLAR
DOLLAR: Strong GBP gains & dovish Fed Powell pressured the dollar yesterday with
the DXY briefly dipping under 96 for the 1st time since early Feb. Despite
staging a minor recovery through Asia, yesterday's close below 50, 55, 21 &
100-dma's keeps the downside in focus. Bears target a break of the 200-dma &
76.4% fibo of 95.02-97.36 at 95.64/57, below here opens the ytd low at 95.02.
- Gold largely consolidates in a narrow $1325-1330 range, searching for a break.
The 21-dma provides the first layer of support at $1320.06, ahead of the 61.8%
retracement level of $1302.48-1346.80 at $1319.28. Bulls need to clear $1333.13,
before challenging the ytd high at $1346.80.
- Oil futures hold in narrow range trade as with focus on the latest DoE
inventory report, median expectations point to a headline crude build of 2.944mn
bbls.
- A reminder ahead of month-end that most bank preliminary models are suggesting
minor dollar sales.
- US data scheduled for release today from Wholesale Inventories at 1330GMT,
followed by Factory Orders & Pending Home Sales at 1500GMT.

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