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Strong May Home Prices Rise As Shortages Worsen

AUSTRALIA DATA

CoreLogic recorded a broad based increase in Australian home prices in May of 1.2% m/m as rising demand comes up against housing shortages. This was the third consecutive monthly rise. The capital-city index rose 1.4% m/m, the highest since September 2021, and is now 3% above the February trough. Rising home prices plus higher mortgage rates are going to drive a further deterioration in affordability, while at the same time rental inflation keeps rising. These developments are concerning the RBA.

  • Home prices remained above trend during the 2022 correction and now stand 10% above it.
  • Advertised listings reflect the major supply shortage in the housing market. CoreLogic observed that in May there were around 1800 fewer homes advertised in the capital cities than in April. Inventory is down 15.3% y/y and 24.4% below the 5-year average.
  • Research director Lawless said “With such a short supply of available housing stock, buyers are becoming more competitive and there’s an element of FOMO creeping into the market.”
  • Sydney prices rose 1.8% m/m and Melbourne 0.9%.
  • See CoreLogic release here.
Australia CoreLogic 5-capital city home prices y/y% vs trend

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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