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MNI Credit Weekly: Le Vendredi Noir
Stronger Demand Seen At 5-Year Auction
Today's supply of 5-year bonds sees stronger demand, with the auction's low price beating dealer expectations, which had been projected at 100.00 as per the BBG poll. This stronger demand was also reflected in the cover ratio of 4.415x, a notable increase from the 3.346x recorded in the previous month's auction. Adding further to the solid metrics, the tail shortened.
- As highlighted in our preview, the highest outright 5-year yield level since January had the potential to support the reception of today’s auction.
- Today’s result contrasts with 10-year and 30-year supply that saw poor digestion, suggesting investors were inclined to seek higher yields before significantly increasing allocations to those parts of the JGB curve.
- The richening of the belly in the 2/5/10-year butterfly since the previous auction also possibly assisted the auction takedown today.
- At the start of the afternoon trading session, JGB futures have gapped up from lunch break levels.
- The 5-year JGB is around 1.0bp richer at 0.282% after the auction to be 0.4bp lower on the day.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.