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Stronger Than Expected PBOC Fix Inspires Knee-Jerk Lower In USD/CNH

CNH

Offshore yuan jumped in reaction to a stronger than expected PBOC fixing. The central bank set the USD/CNY mid-point at CNY7.0655, 148 pips below the expected level, after three consecutive days of virtually in-line fixings.

  • Spot USD/CNH dipped as low as to CNH7.09 but quickly retraced the bulk of losses and last trades at CNH7.1058, down ~20 pips on the day. Downside focus falls on Nov 14 low/Oct 5 low of CNH7.0196/7.0127. Bulls look for a move towards Nov 9 high of CNH7.2799.
  • Meanwhile, China doubled its liquidity injection via the 7-day reverse repo facility versus the previous session, pumping a net CNY123bn into the financial system, after this month's sell-off in Chinese government bonds.
  • There is little in the way of notable local data releases during the remainder of the week.

Fig. 1: USD/CNY Fixing Error (USD/CNY Mid-Point Less BBG Estimate)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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