MNI China Daily Summary: Monday, July 29

MNI: China CFETS Yuan Index Up 0.15% In Week of Jul 26

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY243.37 Bln via OMO Monday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1316 Mon; -1.56% Y/Y

CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY301.57 BILLION VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS MON

CHINA SETS YUAN CENTRAL PARITY AT 7.1316 MON VS 7.1270

CBI Retail Sales Fell Faster Than Expected For The Second Month

MNI: UK CBI JUL DIST TRADE REPORTED SALES -43

MNI: UK BOE JUN MORTGAGE APPROVALS 59,976

RPT-MNI: Canada Sticks To Fiscal Anchors, Spends Chunk Of Windfall

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Summary of Analyst Views (2/2)

BOE
  • Bank Rate at end 2022 (out of 23 analysts): The median has moved up to 1.50% (from 1.375%) and the mean to 1.50% (from 1.41%):
    • SocGen look for 2.00% (4%)
    • 5 analysts for 1.75% (22% up from 14%)
    • 10 analysts look for 1.50% (43% up from 32%)
    • 7 analysts look for 1.25% (30% down from 41%)
    • No analysts look for 1.00% (Down from 9%)
  • Bank Rate at end 2023 (out of 19 analysts): Views are little changed following the meeting and still fairly evenly distributed between 1.00-2.00% for the forecast of Bank Rates (with Credit Suisse and JP Morgan as the outliers). The mean has increased from 1.56% to 1.63%.
    • JP Morgan look for 2.50% (5%)
    • Credit Suisse look for 2.25% (5% from 0%)
    • 3 analysts expect 2.00% (16% from 17%)
    • 4 analysts expect 1.75% (21% from 22%)
    • 5 analysts expect 1.50% (26% from 17%)
    • 3 analysts expect 1.25% (16% from 22%)
    • 2 analysts expect 1.00% (11% from 17%)
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