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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessSummary of Analyst Views for 2022
- 13/23 (57%) of analyst previews that we have read look for a 50bp hike in September while the remainder expect a 25bp hike (10 analysts, 43%).
- Prior to the meeting 5/23 had look for 50bp (22%), 15/23 for 25bp (65%) and 3/23 for rates unchanged (13%) – or to look at this another way 5/23 had looked for 2.25% (22%), 10/23 for 2.00% (43%), 5/23 for 1.75% (22%) and 3/23 for 1.50% (13%).
- 17/22 (77%) of analysts expect a follow up 25bp hike in November.
- NatWest Markets looks for a further 50bp hike in November (following 50bp in September).
- CIBC, ING and JP Morgan all look for a 50bp September hike, but no November hike.
- Barclays is the only analyst looking for a final 25bp September hike.
- Bank Rate at end 2022 (out of 23 analysts): The median is 2.50% (previously 2.00%) while 92% of analysts expect Bank Rate to end 2022 in a 2.25%-2.75% range (previously 87% had expected in a 1.75%-2.50% range).
- NatWest Markets looks for 3.00% (4% up from 0%)
- 5 analysts look for 2.75% (22% up from 4%)
- 8 analysts look for 2.50% (35% up from 17%)
- 8 analysts look for 2.25% (35% up from 26%)
- Barclays looks for 2.00% (4% down from 30%)
- No analysts look for 1.75% (0% down from 13%)
- No analysts look for 1.50% (0% down from 9%)
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.