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|Pantheon||Doubt "the MPC will say anything which would warrant a further steepening of the interest rate futures curve". Expect 8-1 vote with first hike in H2-23.|
|Citi||8-1 vote in June. First hike Aug 23 with further 25bp hikes in Q3-24 and Q3-25. Balance sheet reduction to start when Bank Rate hits 0.50% (2024 on Citi's forecasts).|
|Goldman Sachs||Unlikely significant news at June meeting. Look for August announcement that balance sheet unwind will come before hikes with unwind beginning Q3-23 and first hike Q1-24.|