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Summary of TD's call for FOMC: Tone will........>

FED
FED: Summary of TD's call for FOMC: Tone will almost certainly remain quite
dovish, with no let-up in easing through balance sheet expansion.
- Statement: Forward guidance wording in the statement to largely remain intact.
- SEP: No tightening seen in rate dot plot through at least 2022.
- Press conference: Powell likely to strike balance between signaling dovishness
on policy and not sounding overly negative on the econ outlook, perhaps slightly
more emphasis on the dovish part.
- Interested in any guidance on what to expect from fwd guidance in the months
ahead (for QE and FF rate). Will it be linked to a minimum for inflation in
average infl targeting regime? When will it be introduced, when the review is
completed? When will the review be completed? Is YCC likely any time soon?
- Fwd guidance: FOMC wants more clarity on recovery before making major changes.
- QE: Fed likely to provide more guidance before long. Could come sooner than
new funds rate guidance, but either way requires more clarity on the outlook.
- YCC: By year-end to reinforce dovish forward guidance.

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