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Surging ST Rates Keep Supporting Financial Equities

POLAND
  • The surge in Polish ST rates has been strongly supporting financial stocks in the past year, which continue to gradually recover from their low reached in October 2020.
  • Despite the surge in global liquidity that generated a strong rally in risky assets in the second half of 2020, Polish financials stocks remained vulnerable in the 6 months following the Covid19 shock amid low interest rates, uncertainty over the NBP policy outlook and PLN weakness.
  • This morning, ING bank Slaski CEO mentioned in an online new briefing that recent rate hikes could boost 2022 interest income by 700mil/900mil PLN.
  • MSCI Poland Financials broke above their 390 resistance this week, which corresponds to the 76.4% Fibo retracement of the 154.50 – 463.40 range (463.40 was the high reached in early 2018, when liquidity reached its peak in the EM world, before Covid).
  • Next resistance to watch stands at 400, followed by 408.70 (Nov 3 high).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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