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Surprising Rise In Initial Jobless Claims To Highest Since Oct 2021

US DATA
  • Initial jobless claims surprisingly increased to 264k (cons 245k) in the week to May 6 after an unrevised 242k.
  • The data have been volatile in recent weeks but it breaks out of the rough 230-45k range seen since the drift higher in late Feb/early March. It records its highest level since Oct’21 whilst the 4-week average of 245k is also the highest since Nov’21.
  • The move came with the level of non-seasonally adjusted claims pushing above levels for typical non-pandemic years, a change from hovering near the higher end in recent weeks.
  • Continuing claims offered a slightly better picture on the other hand, only edging to 1813k (cons 1820k) from a downward revised 1801k (initial 1805k).



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