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SWITZERLAND DATA: Domestic Demand Outpaces MNI Median in Q2 GDP

SWITZERLAND DATA

Swiss Q2 real GDP growth was stronger than expected on a non sports event-adjusted basis, at +0.7% Q/Q (vs +0.5% cons and prior), bringing in the yearly comparison at +1.8% Y/Y (vs +1.5% cons; +0.6% prior). The sports event-adjusted print confirmed its flash release at +0.5% Q/Q (vs +0.3% prior).

  • Looking at GDP by expenditure, inclines were broad based with the exception of equipment investment. Also looking at GDP by production split by industry, inclines appear broad-based, with notable strength in manufacturing (see tables below).
  • By expenditure categories, GDP outperformed the median sellside estimate collated by MNI particularly on domestic demand (only Y/Y cons figures available): Private consumption +1.3% Y/Y vs +1.1% cons; gov't spending +1.9% Y/Y vs +0.5% cons. Across other categories, where a comparison vs consensus proves more difficult as SECO reports a more detailed split here, investment and imports appear broadly in line with expectations, and exports might be a bit higher than expected but, again, difficult to compare.
  • For a broader outlook on the Swiss economy, see our recent Macro Signal here
Swiss GDP by Expenditure Q/Q SAQ2'24Q1'24
Private consumption0.30.5
Government cons0.20.2
Equipment and software investment 1.40.4
Construction inv0.5-0.1
Exports of goods excl. valuables6.9-3.7
Exports of services (sports event-adj)1.51.0
Imports of goods excl. valuables-0.72.3
Imports of services0.91.2
Swiss GDP by Production Q/Q SAQ2'24Q1'24
Manufacturing 2.6-0.3
Construction0.10.4
Trade-1.21.1
Accommodation, food2.71.1
Finance, insurance0.1-0.5
Business services0.6-0.3
Public administration0.30.2
Health, social activities1.10.8
Arts, entertainment, recreation (sport adj.)-0.30.2
Other-0.30.7

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