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T-Notes 0-08 vs. settlement at 130-00+......>

US TSYS
US TSYS: T-Notes 0-08 vs. settlement at 130-00+. The contract ground higher in
NY trade, reversing a chunk of the sell-off observed in Asia hours, even as the
S&P added 1.3% in cash trade. The cash space was subjected to some twist
flattening, with 2s underperforming & a TU/TY flattener block underscoring.
- Fed voter & dove Bullard helped to cool the odds of a 50bp rate cut in Sep,
pointing to data dependence & a desire to wait and see how last month's rate cut
feeds through. Bullard also noted that the Fed shouldn't react to every tit for
tat move in the Sino-U.S. trade spat. Bullard also reiterated that he supports
one more 25bp rate cut by end '19. White House trade advisor Navarro was a
little more aggressive, calling for a further 75-100bp of rate cuts by year end.
- Heavy option & related hedging flow on the day, better buyers of downside
puts, upside call sellers, though some ZIRP insurance hedging persisted.
- $13bn Occidental Petroleum jumbo 10-tranche lead the day's supply.
- The latest 3-Year Note auction was virtually on the screws & was solid enough.
- Fed's Evans headlines the docket on Wednesday, with 10-Year supply also due.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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