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Free AccessT-Notes Look Through Friday's Lows
Friday's weakness extends in early futures trade, with T-Notes last printing -0-05 at 135-09+. Little in the way of meaningful tier 1 news flow crossed at the weekend, although there were positive (at least at the margin) headlines re: the efficacy of the Pfizer vaccine. The early move likely represents regional reaction to Friday's weakness, with T-Notes through last week's lows. We should also flag that late Friday saw J.P.Morgan nudge their 10-Year Tsy yield, as well as 5- & 10-Year breakeven forecasts for '21 higher.
- As a reminder, Friday trade saw 30s cheapen by a little over 5.0bp on the day, with bear steepening in play, aided by Democratic Senate leader Schumer pointing to the passage of the fiscal support package by mid-March. Longer dated U.S. Tsy yields tagged fresh cycle highs, with longer dated U.S. real yields bid (30-Year real yields punched and closed above 0.00% for the first time since June '20).
- The vaccine distribution/relative U.S. economic growth themes also played a part.
- There is nothing in the way of tier 1 risk slated for Asia-Pac hours, leaving regional reaction to Friday's market moves at the fore, as participants away input from broader flow/headline matters.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.