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Free AccessTaoiseach (PM) Leo Varadkar confirms to.....>
IRELAND: Taoiseach (PM) Leo Varadkar confirms to Cabinet that he will not seek a
December 2019 general election.
- Rumours that the Irish PM could call a vote in December to take advantage of
the delay to Brexit. However, it appears Varadkar has shifted against this
option, with May 2020 the preferred date.
- All three polls carried out in October have shown Varadkar's Fine Gael (FG)
party leading the main opposition Fianna Fail (FF). Range of leads though, with
FG up by between 1 and 8 percentage points on FF.
- FG does not currently hold a majority in the Dail Eireann, relying on FF in a
confidence and supply agreement that was intended to last until end-2018, but
has been extended through the course of Brexit negotiations.
- FG could be well positioned going into a 2020 election regarding Brexit.
Should Conservatives win a majority in the UK and leave the EU with a deal
Varadkar can claim his gov't mitigated impact of Brexit. If not, and there is a
2nd ref resulting in UK remaining, he can claim his patient stance enabled time
for UK to change its decision.
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.