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Tapestry (TPR; Baa2/BBB; double Neg) Court proceedings for injunction begin

CONSUMER CYCLICALS

Capri equities closed up 5% (SPX +1.2%) and moves it to pricing 48% of success. Reuters has done a write-up on day-1. Internal emails are making a appearance. Hard to see the messages from TPR's CEO studding Capri's pricing and asking his staff to work around the competition as supportive - we are not lawyers but experts in the area have flagged evidence of this as key to FTC's case.

Part of Capri's defence is on how weak it is - it's lawyers apparently added it has been 'loosing relevance since 2016'. As we said after the train-wreck earnings last month (EBIT -86%yoy), it may look good in court but if it closes will eventually become TPR's issue to deal with. Added pressure on mgmt given the price-tag paid.

The outcome will determine if FTC receives a preliminary injunction to pause the buyout - it is not final decision on the antitrust case but a win is seen as very supportive to TPR/CPRI. Indicative timeline from BI's legal analyst below;

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