Free Trial

TD Securities Expect MXN to Depreciate Toward 18.70 Through Q2

BANXICO

On yesterday's Banxico minutes release, TD Securities write:

  • Minutes revealed that high and sticky core inflation was a decisive factor behind the decision.
  • The overall tone and message included in the minutes lead them to reiterate our scenario of Banxico hitting the terminal in its upcoming March meeting with a 25bp hike.
  • As such, TD Securities see space for the TIIE curve to adjust down from its current implicit expectation of incoming 115bps in hikes (already down from 125bps after the publication of the first print of February's Bi-weekly inflation).
  • They expect the MXN to depreciate towards 18.70 through Q2, in part as a reaction to Banxico reaching terminal on March 30.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.